INDUSTRY · TRADING & FINANCIAL MARKETS

AI that understands what moved a market, not just what printed.

A price is the easy part. What a desk needs is the mechanism behind the move, whether it touches the contract they actually hold, and what has failed on this setup before. Recapi builds that understanding, from raw source to reviewed trade.

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Market intelligence desk

WHERE RECAPI CAN HELP

Six areas of work where Recapi has already closed the gap.

Each is a desk discipline with its own evidence standard. These are the ones where we built the understanding and watched the work change.

01 · MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Recapi read the move and named the mechanism behind it

Filings, disclosures, exchange data and index prints were read as one body of evidence rather than four feeds, so a move came back with a cause, a source for every claim and a clear statement of whether it touched the contract the desk actually holds.

PRICE WHAT MOVED IT tariff filing two disclosures WHY, NOT WHAT MECHANISM Cost, not sentiment 12 primary sources

02 · RESEARCH & EVIDENCE

Every claim carried the document it came from

Primary filings did the work. Commentary informed, but never carried a claim on its own.

Primary filings12Exchange data9Disclosure14Commentary11

03 · SIGNAL CONSTRUCTION

A signal fired only when its conditions held

Assumptions written down, and a condition that has failed before kept as a condition.

Tariff revisedmetCurtailment signalledmetSpread past 1.8%metVolume confirmsopen

04 · RISK & EXPOSURE

Sizing accounted for what really shares a driver

Three positions on one input are one bet, and the size was cut accordingly.

GROSSNET LONGCLUSTERHEADROOM

05 · TIMING & PASS-THROUGH

The lag was modelled instead of assumed away

Contract resets and delivery terms set when a cost actually lands.

now LAGS UP TO 11 WEEKS

06 · POST-TRADE REVIEW

What the thesis got wrong became a condition on the next one

A closed position was reviewed against the argument that opened it, not only against the P&L. Where the thesis was right, the reasoning was reinforced; where it was wrong, the miss was written back into the signal so the same setup cannot fire the same way twice.

THESIS VS OUTCOME closed Lag as arguedSpread carriedVolume unconfirmedOperator hedged BOTH MISSES BECAME CONDITIONS

HOW WE WORK WITH YOUR BUSINESS

We start with your workflow, not with our product.

We sit with the analysts, traders and risk owners who hold the standards nobody writes down: what counts as confirmation, which contract matters, and which setups have burned this desk before. Only then do we decide what intelligence is worth building.

Nothing gets built until we can explain how your work actually happens.

YOUR WORKFLOW → DEPLOYED INTELLIGENCE scroll
WHAT PRINTED WHY IT MOVED · AND IF IT TOUCHES US RECAPI · MECHANISM · EXPOSURE · PAST FAILURES SIGNAL SIZING REVIEW EVERY REVIEW FEEDS THE NEXT SIGNAL

01

Understand how it works

Sit with the desk as it actually decides, not as the process document says.

02

Find where intelligence is missing

Name the calls that rest on judgement no system holds.

03

Build the understanding

Turn filings, data and desk standards into structure AI can reason over.

04

Deploy into the workflow

Into the blotter and the morning read, not a portal beside them.

05

Keep improving it

Every review writes a condition back into the signal.

WHAT AI CAN ACTUALLY TAKE ON

Four things that only work once it understands the desk.

Read the filing and say what actually changed

A move explained by mechanism, with the primary source behind each line and a clear note on what stays unresolved.

A TARIFF CHANGED · NOT SENTIMENT regulator filing two disclosures 1 unresolved

Build a signal that states its own assumptions

Conditions, evidence and the setups that have failed before, all held together so a signal cannot quietly fire on half of them.

Tariff band revisedconfirmed in the filingmetTwo operators signal curtailmentboth disclosedmetSpread widens past 1.8%currently 2.1%metVolume confirmsfailed three times beforeopen

Size it against exposure you already carry

Positions that move on one driver are treated as one bet, so the suggested size reflects real concentration rather than a count of tickers.

Power · industrialthe position itself+1.0xAlumina · spotsame input cost driver+0.6xFreight · NW Europepartially offsetting−0.3xCopper cathodeunrelated0.0x SIZE CUT 40% · ONE SHARED DRIVER

Explain the result against the argument that opened it

Attribution that separates the part of the thesis that held from the part that got lucky, and writes both back into the signal.

THESIS VS OUTCOME closed Lag as arguedSpread carriedVolume unconfirmedOperator hedged BOTH MISSES BECAME CONDITIONS
built with Recapi · in production
Research note with evidence trail

WHAT WE'VE ALREADY BUILT

This is already running on live research.

We went deep into commodity and industrials research and built intelligence that reads primary sources, names the mechanism behind a move, states what is still unresolved, and argues its confidence instead of asserting it.

It is not a demo and not a template. It is what happens when Recapi learns a domain properly.

Mechanism-first

A cause with sources, not a headline with a number.

Confidence argued

What raises it and what lowers it are both shown.

PRODUCT GLIMPSES

Three places the understanding shows up.

Screens from the system in production. Data shown is illustrative.

Signal conditions
Exposure and sizing
Post-trade review

EVIDENCE → SIGNAL

Three of four, so it has not fired.

Each condition shown with its evidence, including the one that has failed on this setup three times before.

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ONE WORKFLOW IS JUST THE BEGINNING

Commodity research is one domain we went deep into. It is not the boundary.

The same approach applies wherever a decision rests on evidence, exposure and what has failed before. These are the next places it fits.

COMMODITIES

Already built

Source to signal to review, running on live research today.

CREDIT

Covenants read in context

Obligations tracked against the filings that create them.

EQUITY RESEARCH

Theses that keep their evidence

A note that can still be audited six months later.

MACRO

Mechanisms, not narratives

Policy changes traced to the contracts they actually touch.

TREASURY

Hedges tied to real exposure

Cover sized on what moves together, not on line items.

COMPLIANCE

Decisions that explain themselves

Every position carries the reasoning that opened it.

What we built here is one example of what becomes possible when Recapi enters a complex domain and learns how the work actually happens.

BRING US YOUR WORKFLOW

Have a workflow AI still doesn't understand?

Bring us the work. We'll understand the workflow and explore what AI can genuinely take on, before anything gets built.

Tell us a little about your business or challenge

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